This is the week that makes the college football season feel like the dog days.
It is not like the NHL or NBA, where the season lasts nine months and there are so many games in February that it is just boring. It is more like there are no big games.
On October 5, Missouri vs. Texas A&M is the only game between ranked teams. This is not a good sign.
That does not mean there are not any ways to make money by investing.
That being said, writing this piece is sometimes the most humble thing I have ever done.
I want to get at least 60%, which means I need to get six of these right. I would like to do better, but in the real world, that is not possible. Why do I think like a defensive back when I pick someone off that does not work? Just make the next play, but…
It hurt to lose to Georgia.
I not only chose Georgia over Alabama, I also said that they would come back and do something great when they were down 28–0. It is only one game; losing is losing, and…
For Week 6 of the college football season, here are the ten best picks against the spread.
10 Best College Football Predictions Against the Spread: Week 6
10. Navy at Air Force
Line: Navy -10
Pick: Navy
AND
Point Total: 36.5
Pick: Over
Putting two in this first slot because 1) I KNOW BETTER and 2) I do not feel right not going with it because it is the right thing to do after all.
I know that in the military school games, you should not make assumptions about anything. Also, I know that you should always go under; Air Force won 17–6 last year.
But Air Force has been shockingly bad so far this season, while Navy has been shockingly good. Navy has scored 49, 38, 56, and 41 points so far.
You should keep riding that streak of games where the team scored enough points to cover the over in this case by itself.
Part 2: Same drill, new game…
9. Army at Tulsa
Line: Army -13.5
Pick: Army
We are going to stay on the ride until Army stops crushing teams by a tonne. In the four games, Army has not lost by less than 17 points. Iona is 1-4 against FBS teams, and they just lost to North Texas by 32 points.
Part 3: Same drill, new game…
8. Miami at Cal & Virginia Tech at Stanford
Line: Miami -10.5, Virginia Tech -8.5
Pick: Cal, Stanford
At all, I am not sure about Miami, and I am not sure if Virginia Tech is going to be the team we all thought it would be. Yes, they both have an extra day off after the exciting event last Friday, but they both have to make the long trip to the Bay Area.
At least one of the teams that used to play in the Pac-12 will win easily.
7. Appalachian State at Marshall
Line: Marshall -3
Pick: Marshall
I was not sure if I should go with this or the over on the 58.5. Marshall only did something wrong when he played at Ohio State and Virginia Tech.
The defence for Appalachian State has been too hit or miss, and the offence for Marshall has not been able to get going yet. This is fine. This pick is a straight home run vs. a weak defence.
6. Nevada at San Jose State
Line: Point Total 51.5
Pick: Under
Be careful, I never do well with spite picks. I have been burned all year by San Jose State, but this is more about Nevada.
No one has scored more than 30 points, not even SMU and Minnesota. But the offence is not good enough to beat a San Jose State team that has had 15 days to prepare.
When I talk about teams that have burned me at every turn so far…
5. SMU at Louisville
Line: Louisville -6.5
Pick: Louisville
SMU has lied to me every time. I can not get this team right because there has not been any kind of pattern to what is happened so far, and it has not been clear whether personnel moves have been good or bad with the spread. I will keep this simple.
After beating Florida State 42-16 and TCU 66-42, I still do not believe SMU is good. I think Louisville is much better.
It is SMU’s first game away from home since Week 0 when they beat Nevada 29–24.
4. Tulane at UAB
Line: Tulane -17.5
Pick: Tulane
I am sure Trent Dilfer is a good person, but this has been hard.
UAB lost to Bryant Vincent’s ULM team 32–6 when he was head coach, and Navy beat them 41–18 at home last week.
The Tigers have found their groove. That 45–10 win over USF last week is more like what this team should be like. It fought hard to beat Louisiana.
3. Texas Tech at Arizona
Line: Point Total 63.5
Pick: Over
As I write this at 5:28 in the morning, I am well aware that I am being shaky this week. This is just a “do not think, just pick” pick.
The game will end around 3 a.m. ET, and EVERYONE will have something on while it is on. It is a national game on FOX.
When the game is this late at night, you do not pick the under.
You might have to stay up late to watch the whole thing; the last three Arizona games have not come close to 64 points, but this should be a great fight.
2. Utah State at Boise State
Line: Point Total 65.5
Pick: Over
The total is WAY too high for my liking, but Boise State has put up 56, 56, and 45 in the three wins – and 34 in the loss to Oregon. It’ll do all of the work, and Utah State will help pipe in with at least 20 points to help the cause.
1. Temple at UConn
Line: UConn -17
Pick: UConn
AND
Point Total: 50
Pick: Over
Let us do this again, all right? One slot can hold two bites of the apple.
Teams can not beat UConn at home. It blew out Florida Atlantic 48–14 and rolled Buffalo 47–3. Buffalo played well in their win over Northern Illinois the week before. The Huskies have scored 63, 48, and 47 points at home.
Always, whenever there is a good chance that one side could finish off the points by themselves…
And sometimes Temple has surprised people, like when it beat Utah State 45–29. But it can score a few points. But in their three home games, UConn has given up a total of 34 points.
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